A survey conducted between August 23-29 revealed that former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are nearly tied in Pennsylvania, each receiving 47% support from likely voters. In Georgia, Harris holds a slight advantage, leading Trump 48% to 47%. With a total of 35 electoral votes at stake in these two states, their results could be decisive in the highly competitive race.
In the 2020 election, President Biden won Pennsylvania by a narrow 1.2% margin and Georgia by just 0.23%, underscoring the importance of these states in the upcoming election.
The poll also showed Harris ahead of Trump in Michigan (48%-43%) and Wisconsin (50%-44%), with both leads surpassing the poll’s margin of error. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., despite endorsing Trump and suspending his campaign, drew 4% support in Michigan as his name remained on the ballot.
Trump holds a lead in Arizona, securing 49% of likely voter support compared to Harris’ 44%. Meanwhile, Harris has a slight lead in Nevada, where she leads Trump 48% to 47%.
This poll followed the Democratic National Convention, viewed as Harris’ first significant chance to make an impact. However, the results suggest she has yet to solidify a clear lead over Trump in these critical states.
An upcoming debate between Harris and Trump, set for September 10 in Philadelphia, could provide an important opportunity for either candidate to shift momentum. The poll also indicated that between 11% and 15% of likely voters in these states remain undecided and open to changing their vote.
Republican groups are set to invest more than $110 million in advertising in Pennsylvania and Georgia by the year’s end—more than in any other battleground state. Trump campaign adviser Brian Hughes expressed optimism, citing polling averages that show Trump leading close races in Pennsylvania and Georgia. He noted the growing momentum on the ground, with a united GOP and increasing support from Democrats and Independents.
The CNN/SSRS poll surveyed between 676 and 967 likely voters across different states, with margins of error ranging from 4.4% to 4.9%.
